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Forget it….

I
AzIllini said:
OT-Non Politics :). Many years ago a young woman named Natalie Holloway dominated news and particularly cable news when she disappeared in Aruba (I think). The body was never found, the local authorities shielded the probable murder, etc. The guy eventually got in trouble for other things and maybe even this event was eventually pinned on him. It was a long time ago. Date rape drugs were also suspected.

Anyway, we may have another, the news media certainly is ramping up coverage. A 20 yr old woman went to a Riu resort in the Dominican Republic (they are all over Mexico and the Carribbean) with 5 girl friends for Spring break partying. 4-5 nights ago the women met some men to socialize. At about 4am they were walking on the beach and everyone except the 20 yr old and a man went back to the hotel. The man eventually left the beach and details are still emerging. I think his story is they went swimming and she drowned but the family is not buying it. Apparently her body is missing if she did drown.

Fathers (and Mothers) what good can come from letting your daughter hang out with a stranger on a beach at 4am? Why did her friends think it was OK to leave her? SMH

'Exhaustive' search for missing student presses on in Dominican Republic

Sudiksha Konanki, 20, was last seen before dawn Thursday while walking on a beach in the Dominican Republic resort town of Punta Cana.
www.usatoday.com
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I will never return to the DR. Eight years ago, we were there for a wedding. Our driver slammed on the brakes as these little mopeds were weaving in and out of cars everywhere. My wife had a gash on her forehead was the result. The conditions at their hospital were unbelievably unsanitary. There was an armed security guard there to be sure you paid your bill. We couldn't get off of that island quick enough. The poverty there makes that island terribly dangerous.

A guy I know took his gf there to get engaged. The first night they were there, they were drugged at the resort bar and a bunch of hotel employees came to their room and assaulted his gf. He posted this experience on Facebook and you would not believe the number of people that posted a similar experience in the DR or Mexico.

Pay a bit more and go to Grand Cayman or stay home and go to the Keys.
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Forget it….

A
OT-Non Politics :). Many years ago a young woman named Natalie Holloway dominated news and particularly cable news when she disappeared in Aruba (I think). The body was never found, the local authorities shielded the probable murder, etc. The guy eventually got in trouble for other things and maybe even this event was eventually pinned on him. It was a long time ago. Date rape drugs were also suspected.

Anyway, we may have another, the news media certainly is ramping up coverage. A 20 yr old woman went to a Riu resort in the Dominican Republic (they are all over Mexico and the Carribbean) with 5 girl friends for Spring break partying. 4-5 nights ago the women met some men to socialize. At about 4am they were walking on the beach and everyone except the 20 yr old and a man went back to the hotel. The man eventually left the beach and details are still emerging. I think his story is they went swimming and she drowned but the family is not buying it. Apparently her body is missing if she did drown.

Fathers (and Mothers) what good can come from letting your daughter hang out with a stranger on a beach at 4am? Why did her friends think it was OK to leave her? SMH

'Exhaustive' search for missing student presses on in Dominican Republic

Sudiksha Konanki, 20, was last seen before dawn Thursday while walking on a beach in the Dominican Republic resort town of Punta Cana.
www.usatoday.com
Click to expand...
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Forget it….

O
JeffT818 said:
Reducing government spending has a negative impact on growth. The coming tax cuts are replacing the current tax cuts so they will not be stimulative. Tariffs are inflationary so if they are in place for any length of time they will hurt the economy as well.

The yield curve has inverted again which has been a pretty good indicator of a recession.

IMO, a recession is more likely than not.
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The yield curve has been inverted for something like 2 1/2 years now.
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Forget it….

J
tjfleck6 said:
Reducing government spending is exactly what you want - yet rail against. Quite odd and only explained by the scrambled state of your mind.

The tax cuts must be renewed. If not, that will be a drag on the economy.

Have you sold everything yet? Better yet, hopefully you sold 2 weeks ago when you warned us all!
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Yes, I did adjust my portfolio two weeks ago.
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Forget it….

tjfleck6
JeffT818 said:
Reducing government spending has a negative impact on growth. The coming tax cuts are replacing the current tax cuts so they will not be stimulative. Tariffs are inflationary so if they are in place for any length of time they will hurt the economy as well.

The yield curve has inverted again which has been a pretty good indicator of a recession.

IMO, a recession is more likely than not.
Click to expand...
Reducing government spending is exactly what you want - yet rail against. Quite odd and only explained by the scrambled state of your mind.

The tax cuts must be renewed. If not, that will be a drag on the economy.

Have you sold everything yet? Better yet, hopefully you sold 2 weeks ago when you warned us all!
Click to expand...
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Forget it….

tjfleck6
Uncoach said:
Let me know what that has to do with economy. Florida is gaining population. Also more importantly, RDS the Governor, not the mayor. Also, let me know when "South Florida" is a city.
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You will note Stone is not fleeing his Florida home. Why not?

Facts are facts, people are going to Texas, Florida, and Arizona. Once remote outposts like San Tan Valley and Maricopa (both in Arizona) have become the places that youngsters can barely afford to buy a home. Both are distant from downtown Phoenix and a horrid commute. Everything closer is significantly greater.

As for lovely California, I had a buddy who bought a home in Solana Beach for 399k in '99 ("I couldn't afford it then"). Recently, Zillow shows it at 2.8M - it was 1.6M on Zillow three short years ago. Granted, the house which isn't much is 1/2 mile from the beach. California is a housing nightmare - hence the growth in Arizona.

Our newest out of the closet flaming liberal is choosing to flee Illinois and go to Florida of all places. Didn't he see the list of true paradise?
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Forget it….

J
bucshon said:
If there is a recession, the primary cause will be the prolonged period of inflation.

No one knows yet what the net effect of the policy changes will be, including the Fed chairman who commented on it last week.

IMO, the coming tax cuts and deregulation will offset any negative impact of tariffs and the economy will be fine.
Click to expand...

Reducing government spending has a negative impact on growth. The coming tax cuts are replacing the current tax cuts so they will not be stimulative. Tariffs are inflationary so if they are in place for any length of time they will hurt the economy as well.

The yield curve has inverted again which has been a pretty good indicator of a recession.

IMO, a recession is more likely than not.
Click to expand...

Forget it….

stoneaxe27
bucshon said:
If there is a recession, the primary cause will be the prolonged period of inflation.

No one knows yet what the net effect of the policy changes will be, including the Fed chairman who commented on it last week.

IMO, the coming tax cuts and deregulation will offset any negative impact of tariffs and the economy will be fine.
Click to expand...
Unless he reverses course, it will be the inflation caused by the tariffs that crash the economy. Tax cuts to upper brackets won't offset the inflation paid by the great number of taxpayers. Same for deregulation.
Click to expand...
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Postseason Expectations

I
It's been a roller coaster of a season with several phases.

Games 1-6: Young team with lots of talent but not sure if we can beat anyone good.
Games 7-18: Alternate "good" and "bad" games where the good might be a 20-point win on the road at an NCAA team and the bad might be a 10-point home loss that's barely Quad 2.
Games 19-28: This team can't field a healthy roster or make a 3-point shot. Every so often flash a decent win but possibly endure a massive beatdown. Lucky to hold on to an NCAA bid.
Games 29-31+: Hey maybe we're good again!

That last phase has seen a resurgence of "Illinois can be a dark horse Final Four team!"

The big problem (IMO) is that we're looking at a brick wall of some of the strongest 1 and 2 seeds that the sport has seen. The top 8 (Duke, Auburn, Houston, Florida, Tennessee, Alabama, Texas Tech, Michigan State -- sorry St. John's you aren't it) are all +27.52 or greater in KenPom NetRtg. For context, in 2020 when the season ended there was only one team with a NetRtg that high. All four 1 seeds have higher NetRtg values than the average NCAA champion. We have the exact same NetRtg as we did last year (+24.53) after an Elite Eight, except this year we're #18 in KenPom and last year we were #10. So the NCAA Tournament is not wide open. It's a juggernaut at the top.

We're unlikely to get a top-4 seed this year, so we'll likely have to upset a team to get to the Sweet 16. That's my target this postseason. It will feel like a step back after last year but if we can get to the second weekend and overperform our seed in back-to-back seasons that would be a big step forward for the program as a whole. Then we can bring back our foundation and try to build a true juggernaut next year.
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