Including the win at Oregon the first few days of January, Illinois' results have been almost generated at random, taking into account the final score. The only normal games the team has played are at Washington (close road win against an inferior team), Michigan State (close road loss against a very good team), Northwestern (moderate home win against a decent team), Nebraska (OT loss against a decent team), Ohio State (moderate home win against a relatively good team), and UCLA (close home win against a good team).
The rest of the results are basically randomly generated. More bad than good, but almost completely random in how they've played out. 11 games where the final result was nothing - typically double digits and multiple times 20 points plus - different than the expected result. Illinois is 5-6 in these games, but has lost 3 of the last 4.
This team is very high in variability. I suspect the injuries are a big part, but the real driver of it is the penchant for horrid shooting. If Illinois makes 40% from 3 (not a real high mark), Illinois probably beats every team in CBB other than Auburn and Duke (Bama game would be close). Yes, that makes Illinois dangerous, both directions. And probably even more dangerous if Morez is playing, as Illinois is likely to dominate the glass.
The rest of the results are basically randomly generated. More bad than good, but almost completely random in how they've played out. 11 games where the final result was nothing - typically double digits and multiple times 20 points plus - different than the expected result. Illinois is 5-6 in these games, but has lost 3 of the last 4.
This team is very high in variability. I suspect the injuries are a big part, but the real driver of it is the penchant for horrid shooting. If Illinois makes 40% from 3 (not a real high mark), Illinois probably beats every team in CBB other than Auburn and Duke (Bama game would be close). Yes, that makes Illinois dangerous, both directions. And probably even more dangerous if Morez is playing, as Illinois is likely to dominate the glass.
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