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Gabe Jacas

How are we not gushing about this 3* freshman? Just watched the recording of the Minny game and he jumps off the screen with big plays. Some are plays that won't show up in the stats but it's stuff like running guys down from behind, flushing the qb into someone else for the sack, making big hits, etc. For a freshman to do all this and only be a 3*, I'm stunned by the rating system that he's a 3*. I wouldn't expect a 5* freshman LB to make this much impact.

Why this team is so good

Long-time football fan, no X's and O's knowledge. Here's why we're good from my perspective.
Offense:
  1. Chase Brown is just ridiculously good at RB. I've seen bigger, faster, and/or more explosive RBs but he makes the most out of every inch of space he's given. He reads his blocks, slips through the hole, and explodes in open space. He basically gets about 2 yards/carry more than he should on all kinds of runs. So that makes the running game very hard to stop.
  2. DeVito makes good decisions and has mid-range accuracy. We don't have the game-breaking talent at WR but there's enough there that IW can be a go-to guy and the other WRs can get open enough. TDV can get you 7 yards in the air when you have to get it. He will steal a few 1st downs with his legs. He avoids INTs and sacks by being decisive and making good reads. The scheme and play-calling help him because he usually doesn't have to work too hard to get to the right decision.
  3. BB knows how to develop offensive linemen. If it's his coaching superpower then it's a good one to have. He knows how 300+ lb men move, I suppose.
  4. Lunney is a mastermind. Guys get open because multiple plays run out of the same looks, there is motion and misdirection, and he generally calls plays that are appropriate for the situation. Goal-to-go plays could use a little work but generally the play-calling is all about keeping the chains moving. The tempo of the offense is such that he forces the defense into a call and can then read and adjust the play as needed. So you are very rarely trapped in a play with no chance of success. You can still hold the ball a long time but every so often you go fast and steal a play while the defense isn't ready. It's a schematic advantage and our offensive players seem very comfortable with it.
Defense:
  1. Dominating talent at key positions. Elite CB and DL play. Witherspoon is a shut down corner and the Newton/Randolph tandem create a lot of havoc. The LB corps isn't amazing so we will give up some big runs here and there but the DL helps them a ton. We can get away with more guys in the box because the back end can survive 1-on-1 matchups.
  2. Ryan Walters is just a savant at defensive play calling. The stuff he dials up is very often disruptive. Steal a play or two every drive and get a TFL and that makes it very hard for the opponent to sustain long drives.
  3. Very few guys just standing around covering air. The scheme is effective and guys do their jobs. College football is very big on misdirection but we hardly ever get fooled because nobody is freelancing. Guys trust the system and don't just chase the action of the play. That discipline means that a lot of the cute misdirection plays end up in TFLs.
Special Teams/Game Management:
  1. I actually think our lack of a long-range FG kicker helps our game management. We go for it more on 4th down which is the right thing to do anyway. The key is that we know we're doing it in advance and use 3rd down to set up 4th down sometimes.
  2. We aren't desperate so we don't gamble on special teams. Just do the basics and let the offense and defense win the games.
  3. The team is confident enough to perform in clutch situations. I can't think of a single back-breaking FG miss. The Indiana game was lost on special teams but the punting issues have been fixed.
College football isn't that complicated. We're just insanely well-coached this year and there's enough talent to make that pay off. 6-1 doesn't really tell the story of our success because we are flat-out dominating most of these games in terms of yardage gained vs. allowed. Second-order wins are off the charts. The Indiana game was more of a fluke loss than any of the 6 wins were unlikely. If we can maintain this level of play we will finish 10-2. I do think the more talented teams in the country will be able to negate some of these advantages just based on the talent differential. So I wouldn't expect to beat a top-10 team, but you can do pretty darn well beating everyone else and just being opportunistic against the very best competition.

Can't help myself -- rotation guess

I explicitly said that it was pointless to do this but it's mid-October and I am compelled to try. Here's what I think our rotation looks like this year:

PG: Clark (20), Epps (20)
SG: Shannon (32), Clark (4), Epps (4)
SF: Melendez (20), Rodgers (20)
PF: Mayer (24), Goode (12), Melendez (4)
C: Hawkins (28), Dainja (8), Mayer (4)

Total Minutes: Shannon (32), Mayer (28), Hawkins (28), Melendez (24), Clark (24), Epps (24), Rodgers (20), Goode (12), Dainja (8)
Lieb and Harris on the bench.

  • I'm forecasting an even split between Clark and Epps because of what Doug has been reporting. I don't think we really go 5-wing so I always have one of them at the PG spot.
  • Shannon is the "star" so he gets the most minutes. Nobody is a Trent Frazier this year playing 35-40 mpg.
  • I think RJ is the starter but Rodgers is right on his heels. Good competition there and if you want SF minutes on this team you will need to be productive.
  • The 5 spot is the real enigma here. It may change dramatically based on matchups. I do think Hawkins gets a chance to lock that spot down. Dainja is an enigma but if he delivers his role could really expand. Otherwise I think we see more lineups with Mayer at the 5 or maybe even Lieb gets to contribute.
  • I think Goode is important to this team but I don't know who we takes minutes from unless we have a wing at the 5 spot.
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Chase Brown named B1G player of the week

CHAMPAIGN, Ill. — Illinois running back Chase Brown was named the Big Ten co-Offensive Player of the Week, the conference office announced Monday.

Brown ran for 180 yards on 41 carries in Illinois' 26-14 win over Minnesota on Saturday. The win moved Illinois to #18 in the AP Poll and #20 in the Coaches Poll.

"First of all, it's great for this team, but I think about the fans as well, the people that have stuck by us," said Brown after the win. "This is just the start. I'm so excited that we're playing at this level. We all expect to play at this level and continue to win games, but for the guys in this locker room and a lot of guys that are going through their last season and last year eligibility, that was a goal. That's what we wanted to do. Moving forward, we just got to keep the good energy moving and continue to push because we have good teams on the schedule."

Brown became the first running back in the nation to eclipse the 1,000-yard mark this season. He has 1,059 rushing yards to lead the nation, while also leading the nation with 1,166 all-purpose yards.

Brown became just the third Illini in history to rush for 1,000 yards in two seasons, joining an elite group that includes Jim Grabowski and Robert Holcombe. He has rushed for over 100 yards in an Illinois-record eight straight games.

Brown earned his fourth career Big Ten Player of the Week honor and second this season.

So as it turns out...

LB Antwon Hayden, OLB / DE Mason Murigan, and OLB / DE Calvin Smith were all underrated by the scouting services.

All three are having monster years and pushing for 4-star status.

I'll have a story on it. I'm also working on a recruiting roundup on guys they should try to flip. They have to parlay the on-the-field success into a better '23 class. It's not too late.
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