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Helluva year

For those that give a poop about Flying from or into Newark NJ Airport.

At this time the NY/NJ Port Authority are doing runway maintenance. Normally this would be no biggie !

But Newark has only TWO runways suitable for passenger sized planes ! One is shorter and crosses OVER the NJ Turnpike and scares the poop out of drivers on either of the 12 lanes N & S ! The other runs along the Pike about 200 or 300 yards.

ANY weather event like even light rain will cause delays of up to 2 hours. This had been for OVER 20 years.

NOTHING to do with Joey or Donald or their FAA Directors.

Philly is a better airport for on time flights in or out.
With one runway out due to reconstruction, wind from the north or east forces Newark to go to a single runway for both arrivals and departures. In this case, many flights have been canceled and many others have experienced up to four hour delays.
 
This is exactly what TDS 2.1 told us would happen.

Deal number 1: UK


 
This is exactly what TDS 2.1 told us would happen.

Deal number 1: UK


Not a consequential deal as GB is #8 on our list of trading partners and we have a trade SURPLUS with GB, they buy more from us than we do from them.
 
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This is exactly what TDS 2.1 told us would happen.

Deal number 1: UK



Right now, the hard data does not indicate major cracks in the economy. Obviously the port-related numbers are very concerning with specific types of goods.

Being that it looks to me like the trade court will rule against the authority under which Trump exercised these tariffs (there's a hearing before it on May 13) and the tariffs will have an even more hostile panel at the Federal Circuit before meandering up to the Supremes for a case that will likely be argued later this year/early next year, Trump may escape this policy with a mere economic dip, some inflation on lower end goods (which hurts middle and lower income Americans the most), and some shortages on the same types of goods. That would be a wildly favorable result for this reckless policy; however, the policy - assuming the Supremes affirm its nuking (which I'd expect) - would never be meaningfully enacted while having the impact of hardening a solid majority of Americans against future tariffs (which poll horribly).

That's a best case scenario for Trump. The worst case scenario is we go 6-9 months with no meaningful resolution and these things linger while slowing business growth and raising prices.

As for trade deals, I'm glad we've done one with the UK especially, I think that should have been a post-Brexit priority in Trump #1.
 
That didn't take long for a loyal leftwing Kool-Aid guzzler to crap on good news. Shocking.

From my end, the USA should have been pushing for a deal with the UK effectively eliminating any import levies since Brexit was finalized (that's the end of Trump #1 and all of Biden). Oh well, it sounds like it's going to be done now. That's a positive.

If Trump joins the TPP (or something similar) and gets a free trade deal with Europe, that's a big, big win.
 
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He was saying the same things back when Orca and her audience loved him.


"Terrible trade deals" seems like a really hard argument to make when the US economy has repeatedly outpaced the economy of peer nations in this era of globalization. There's many reasons for this, but a fair number of them are that "maintaining a broad manufacturing base" is not exactly a critical priority in a knowledge-based economy.

Where Trump and the more insular folks have a point is that the US has more critical interests in certain types of manufacturing, as a national security priority. Considering the amount of defense production here (we supply much of the Free World), we understood that with respect to military hardware. That said, certain types of tech (microchips) and pharmaceuticals did not receive similar attention, and our production unnecessarily atrophied. Trump easily could have targeted more of this stuff, enhancing the CHIPs Act Biden passed, but that's not the approach we've taken.

That said, I think people are mistaken in thinking that "disappointed blue collar workers in the Heartland" are going to continue to have wildly outsized electoral importance as soon as 2032, after we've seen another round of reapportionment (which will be very favorable to the Sunbelt/Mountain West). I'm also leaving out the discussion of what the US should have done about workers who did lose due to globalization, but re-training and encouraging greater geographic mobility would have been nice starts (we need to do a lot more of the latter).
 
Dude ... you realize this is pretty typical news coverage, right? Crime gets an extraordinarily high percentage of local coverage (and on the right, national coverage).

I almost daresay you go back and find a WGN news broadcast from like 1990. It was literally murder, another murder, armed robbery, another murder, and the weather. Classic stuff!

Not typical news coverage. Or it shouldn’t be. It was related to the biggest bust in our country’s history. Pretty sad to still see people dismissing this as nothing to be concerned about.

Glad to see federal and local authorities working together these last few months.

 
Have to respond to Drano calling me "of low IQ"...

Here is the list of Universities/Colleges I could have attended after my 2 years of PG at Manlius; ANYWHERE in the US !
Ivies, Service Academies, Big 10, ACC, Pac 12. ALL of them offered me FULL scholarships to attend their fine schools and play some sports. Maybe it helped that I was Second in my classwork in High School ! Without any extra effort, while excelling in the 3 sports I played, year round. MY SAT's were fine, but not as high as my second Sister, who scored 1,600 (The MAXIMUM !)

Duke was one of those schools and I knew several Manlius kids there. Also my Dad had accepted a full schollie there, instead of P-ton. But that's another LONG story !

Anyway some time goes bye and I enter the NJSP, after the entrance exam with 30,000 test takers. My oldest Sister has become a Lawyer and she tells me to enter a Law School. So without any prep I take the LSAT, score a 152 which is OK with no prep study classes and probably not as high as you.

In the NJSP, I took the Series 7 Test administered by the SEC for ALL securities and passed it first time. Later took the General Manager Series 24 test also thru the SEC passed first time, which allowed me to open an office in West Palm Beach which had 95 brokers at it's high ! Another long story !

Lately I have evaded TDS 1.0 AND TDS 2.0, so I have that going for myself !

Just made 88 % on a trade I entered on Mon and out this AM as I was typing this. "W" options.

Working on getting Grandson # 4 a full scholarship for a Prep School that want's him to wrestle for them as a Jun & Sen in High School ! Just named to the National High School Academic Team !

Have a nice day !
 
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Not typical news coverage. Or it shouldn’t be. It was related to the biggest bust in our country’s history. Pretty sad to still see people dismissing this as nothing to be concerned about.

Glad to see federal and local authorities working together these last few months.

The MORE arrests AND incarcerations of the Criminal element, the LOWER the crime rate, BOTH estimated and actual !
 
Not typical news coverage. Or it shouldn’t be. It was related to the biggest bust in our country’s history. Pretty sad to still see people dismissing this as nothing to be concerned about.

Glad to see federal and local authorities working together these last few months.


Did you just discover that there's crime in America? We are relatively "high crime" for a First World country, almost certainly a function of also being "high freedom." This crusade comes off like that.

I realize that you are upset with the authorities in CO not addressing a lot of public order issues, which seems reasonable to me. And I think it made a crime spike even worse. But you still live in a much lower crime place than I do (it's the public order that's the issue).

I understand how these get conflated, but still.

Even better news is that drug overdose deaths are down over 30% in the last 12 months, tho I do think CO is behind that curve (for reasons we've discussed).
 
Have to respond to Drano calling me "of low IQ"...

Here is the list of Universities/Colleges I could have attended after my 2 years of PG at Manlius; ANYWHERE in the US !
Ivies, Service Academies, Big 10, ACC, Pac 12. ALL of them offered me FULL scholarships to attend their fine schools and play some sports. Maybe it helped that I was Second in my classwork in High School ! Without any extra effort, while excelling in the 3 sports I played, year round. MY SAT's were fine, but as high as my second Sister, who scored 1,600 (The MAXIMUM !)

Duke was one of those schools and I knew several Manlius kids there. Also my Dad had accepted a full schollie there, instead of P-ton. But that's another LONG story !

Anyway some time goes bye and I enter the NJSP, after the entrance exam with 30,000 test takers. My oldest Sister has become a Lawyer and she tells me to enter a Law School. So without any prep I take the LSAT, score a 152 which is OK with no prep study classes and probably not as high as you.

In the NJSP, I took the Series 7 Test administered by the SEC for ALL securities and passed it first time. Later took the General Manager Series 24 test also thru the SEC passed first time, which allowed me to open an office in West Palm Beach which had 95 brokers at it's high ! Another long story !

Lately I have evaded TDS 1.0 AND TDS 2.0, so I have that going for myself !

Just made 88 % on a trade I entered on Mon and out this AM as I was typing this. "W" options.

Working on getting Grandson # 4 a full scholarship for a Prep School that want's him to wrestle for them as a Jun & Sen in High School ! Just named to the National High School Academic Team !

Have a nice day !

Just for context, folks, I scored in the 99th percentile on the LSAT. A current scaled score of 152 is roughly the 46th percentile. While those things change a bit over time, it's probably safe to call that score roughly about 50th percentile.

I'm just laying out the facts here. This seems like a total waste of my time to do so (and is almost getting mean considering the obvious conclusion).

Big Will can keep spending time accepting terrible arguments as fact (because he likes them) and keep spouting opinions with no basis in reality. And when challenged, he can screech "TDS." That's his prerogative. I will continue to think it's low IQ drivel.

But continuing to engage with the conversation is a waste of my time. I've narrowed those with whom I engaged on here to those who make substantive arguments, whether I agree or not. Some of those folks are huge Trump fans, several are not.
 
He was saying the same things back when Orca and her audience loved him.

He has always loved tariffs as a sledgehammer and has always been wrong. Now he is so addled as shown by news conference with Canadian PM that he doesn’t know what is taxed imports or exports or if tariffs hurt a country because they want to buy from US or want to sell to US. No room to denigrate Joe.
Does this really move the needle in any way?

Yes it moves the needle toward racism immigranthatred on the Republican dial.
 
Relieved to read that Trump nominated a woman without a medical license, that never finished her residency to become a surgeon, that sells quack vitamins and supplements on-line, that is an anti-vaxxer, to be the Surgeon General. Another fine pick by Trump!
 
Just for context, folks, I scored in the 99th percentile on the LSAT. A current scaled score of 152 is roughly the 46th percentile. While those things change a bit over time, it's probably safe to call that score roughly about 50th percentile.

I'm just laying out the facts here. This seems like a total waste of my time to do so (and is almost getting mean considering the obvious conclusion).

Big Will can keep spending time accepting terrible arguments as fact (because he likes them) and keep spouting opinions with no basis in reality. And when challenged, he can screech "TDS." That's his prerogative. I will continue to think it's low IQ drivel.

But continuing to engage with the conversation is a waste of my time. I've narrowed those with whom I engaged on here to those who make substantive arguments, whether I agree or not. Some of those folks are huge Trump fans, several are not.
I have available time on my hands from a long life as a high earner, after the NJSP.

I wish you the same success when your "practice" winds down as you mature.

One of my Nephew's an Attorney, has retired to the golf courses in Palm Beach County, Fla. Another Nephew has scaled down his legal work, he gets a phone call every day about the Jersey Shore surf conditions. Good surf he straps on his board into his classic Corvette and heads South on the Parkway for some waves !

TDS 1.0 AND TDS 2.0 are recognized satire attached to those that accept anguish for EVERY facet of President Trump's actions.

Yet here he is...
 
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If you know the Corporate ethos and politics of Hallmark you know that is total BS.
Corporations are made to make money. If a company can raise prices right now in the current climate, they will. It doesn't surprise me any corporation would do that. I also added specifically regarding Hallmark "if true".
 
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Relieved to read that Trump nominated a woman without a medical license, that never finished her residency to become a surgeon, that sells quack vitamins and supplements on-line, that is an anti-vaxxer, to be the Surgeon General. Another fine pick by Trump!

Where were you with the previous admin promoting nut jobs? Here's just one of many.

210119080307-01-rachel-levine.jpg
 
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