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First-round matchups

IlliniJoe81

Well-Known Member
Gold Member
Oct 29, 2006
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If we are a 6 seed, I see a couple things that make me nervous. First is that we might get the play-in winner. That’s always dangerous as you get the better of two 11-seeds. That’s a guaranteed challenging matchup.

Second thing is that I’m not seeing many bid thieves this week. Those teams springing upsets in low major conferences shrink the bubble and weaken the lower end of the field.

I think our metrics will be strong for a 6 seed but we definitely can’t assume anything. There’s a reason why you don’t see many 6 seeds making deep runs.

You’d almost rather be the best 7 seed if you can get the weakest 2 seed and avoid the play-in winner.

Would you rather have the winner of San Diego State / Vandy and then Texas Tech or West Virginia and then St. John’s. I didn’t look at the metrics or matchups so I don’t know for sure but statistically I don’t like being opposite a play-in.
 
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