Going out to two decimal places because it's that tight...
1. Purdue (5) - 15.64
2. Rutgers (14) - 13.30
3. Illinois (21) - 11.58
4. Iowa (32) - 10.87
5. Michigan (51) - 10.61
6. Penn State (38) - 10.20
7. Mich State (40) - 10.19
8. Ohio State (17) - 10.03
9. Maryland (43) - 9.68
10. Northwestern (58) - 9.50
11. Wisconsin (67) - 9.25
12. Indiana (28) - 9.19
13. Nebraska (95) - 6.59
14. Minnesota (186) - 3.37
1. Purdue (5) - 15.64
2. Rutgers (14) - 13.30
3. Illinois (21) - 11.58
4. Iowa (32) - 10.87
5. Michigan (51) - 10.61
6. Penn State (38) - 10.20
7. Mich State (40) - 10.19
8. Ohio State (17) - 10.03
9. Maryland (43) - 9.68
10. Northwestern (58) - 9.50
11. Wisconsin (67) - 9.25
12. Indiana (28) - 9.19
13. Nebraska (95) - 6.59
14. Minnesota (186) - 3.37
- 1.68 projected wins are all that separate 4th place from 12th place
- The only real threat to Purdue right now is Rutgers. Rutgers is currently alone in 2nd place and projected as the #14 team in the country.
- Illinois was #33 in preseason, rose up to #12 before the Penn State loss, dipped to #40 before the Wisconsin win, and is now #21. We are currently favored or 1-point underdogs in our next 8 games. We need to keep banking victories
- Some odd positioning of teams relative to their efficiency rankings (see Michigan, Ohio State, Indiana). Some of this is injuries but I expect the efficiency rankings to move to match the rankings and not vice versa. A lot of these teams aren't really rated properly right now. I think in the era of NIL and transfers it takes a little while for your team to gel and more November/December results will be misleading. Trust Vegas over KenPom right now when they differ.
