It's that simple. If we don't beat Purdue, we have to beat Wisconsin to get a bid. Losing to the 9/10 seed is worse than losing to Purdue.
20-13 with a close loss to Wisconsin puts us exactly where we were in 2014 and 2010 when we were one basket away from a bid.
20-13 with a close loss to Wisconsin puts us exactly where we were in 2014 and 2010 when we were one basket away from a bid.