You can group the B1G into three clear tiers:
I’ll put KenPom ratings and projections and Torvik NCAA odds to help illustrate.
NCAA locks:
Purdue (2, 15-5, 100%)
Illinois (11, 14-6, 99.6%)
Wisconsin (12, 14-6, 99.9%)
Michigan State (19, 11-9, 94.5%)
Bubble teams:
Iowa (42, 10-10, 23%)
Ohio State (44, 9-11, 52.7%)
Nebraska (52, 10-10, 43.9%)
Northwestern (59, 11-9, 36.6%)
Bubble Burst:
Maryland (68, 9-11, 0.5%)
Michigan (78, 6-14, 0.6%)
Minnesota (90, 8-12, 0.3%)
Rutgers (91, 7-13, 0.3%)
Indiana (96, 8-12, 0.4%)
Penn State (106, 7-13, 0.2%)
I’ll put KenPom ratings and projections and Torvik NCAA odds to help illustrate.
NCAA locks:
Purdue (2, 15-5, 100%)
Illinois (11, 14-6, 99.6%)
Wisconsin (12, 14-6, 99.9%)
Michigan State (19, 11-9, 94.5%)
Bubble teams:
Iowa (42, 10-10, 23%)
Ohio State (44, 9-11, 52.7%)
Nebraska (52, 10-10, 43.9%)
Northwestern (59, 11-9, 36.6%)
Bubble Burst:
Maryland (68, 9-11, 0.5%)
Michigan (78, 6-14, 0.6%)
Minnesota (90, 8-12, 0.3%)
Rutgers (91, 7-13, 0.3%)
Indiana (96, 8-12, 0.4%)
Penn State (106, 7-13, 0.2%)