Saw that we were the 10th most likely team to get upset in the first round in the Slingshot model. Made me nervous for a bit but then I read more.
Slingshot only covers 1-6 seeds, so 24* matchups.
1-3 seeds hardly ever go down in the first round. None of them are in the top 10, which is quite understandable.
There are 14 4-6 seed matchups they evaluated (two matchups each for each of the play-ins) and the worst one of our matchups (Xavier) has a 26.9% chance of an upset, which ranks 10th most likely of 14.
For comparison, Purdue has a 28.9% chance of losing a 4/13 game in their model.
That’s really not so bad. I’d sign up for a 3/4 chance of making the second round.
*Actually 28 because of play-in pairs.
Slingshot only covers 1-6 seeds, so 24* matchups.
1-3 seeds hardly ever go down in the first round. None of them are in the top 10, which is quite understandable.
There are 14 4-6 seed matchups they evaluated (two matchups each for each of the play-ins) and the worst one of our matchups (Xavier) has a 26.9% chance of an upset, which ranks 10th most likely of 14.
For comparison, Purdue has a 28.9% chance of losing a 4/13 game in their model.
That’s really not so bad. I’d sign up for a 3/4 chance of making the second round.
*Actually 28 because of play-in pairs.
