Big difference between #13 overall and the others.
First round you get a 13 seed. That’s going to be an auto-qualifier from a low major. They are usually 70+ on KenPom but some of them are much better than others (especially if we see a lot of upsets in those tourneys.) Want the weakest first round team possible.
Second round you get the winner of the 5/12 game. Some 5 seed always loses to the 12. Big spread in the quality of 5 seeds right now.
KenPom on Bracketmatrix
BYU (16)
SDSU (20)
Clemson (24)
South Car (47!)
Who do you think loses to the 12? The top 4 seed notionally gets South Carolina.
Then if you do get to the Sweet 16 you probably see the 1 seed. It’s clear that Purdue, UConn, and Houston are the 3 best teams in the country. There’s always a 1 seed that everyone knows is going down early. That’s going to be the #4 overall seed this year, whoever it is.
Lots of brackets are going to have the #13 overall team going to the Elite Eight. It’s a desirable spot and we have a decent shot at it even if we fall short of a 3 seed.
First round you get a 13 seed. That’s going to be an auto-qualifier from a low major. They are usually 70+ on KenPom but some of them are much better than others (especially if we see a lot of upsets in those tourneys.) Want the weakest first round team possible.
Second round you get the winner of the 5/12 game. Some 5 seed always loses to the 12. Big spread in the quality of 5 seeds right now.
KenPom on Bracketmatrix
BYU (16)
SDSU (20)
Clemson (24)
South Car (47!)
Who do you think loses to the 12? The top 4 seed notionally gets South Carolina.
Then if you do get to the Sweet 16 you probably see the 1 seed. It’s clear that Purdue, UConn, and Houston are the 3 best teams in the country. There’s always a 1 seed that everyone knows is going down early. That’s going to be the #4 overall seed this year, whoever it is.
Lots of brackets are going to have the #13 overall team going to the Elite Eight. It’s a desirable spot and we have a decent shot at it even if we fall short of a 3 seed.