It wasn't worth a whole new thread for one bullet point but USC creamed Washington last night and they are up to 66 in the NET. So I'll add some more thoughts.
The only games on the schedule that might move around are:
@Rutgers (79) - Quad 2 loss could move up to Quad 1 if Rutgers plays better
vs. UCLA (26) - Quad 1 win could move down to Quad 2 if they fade
I think our 30 games so far are otherwise mostly locked in:
7-9 Quad 1
6-2 Quad 2
0-0 Quad 3
6-0 Quad 4
I also asked Grok to give me a formula for converting resumes into seeds. Here's what it came up with:
Resume Score=(3.0⋅Q1W)+(1.5⋅Q2W)+(0.5⋅Q3W)+(0.1⋅Q4W)−(1.0⋅Q1L)−(0.5⋅Q2L)−(1.5⋅Q3L)−(3.0⋅Q4L)
Adjusted Score=Resume Score−NET/50+(10⋅WP)
Adjusted Score=20.6−0.4+6.33=26.53
Typically this resume would map to a 4 seed.
The only games on the schedule that might move around are:
@Rutgers (79) - Quad 2 loss could move up to Quad 1 if Rutgers plays better
vs. UCLA (26) - Quad 1 win could move down to Quad 2 if they fade
I think our 30 games so far are otherwise mostly locked in:
7-9 Quad 1
6-2 Quad 2
0-0 Quad 3
6-0 Quad 4
I also asked Grok to give me a formula for converting resumes into seeds. Here's what it came up with:
Resume Score=(3.0⋅Q1W)+(1.5⋅Q2W)+(0.5⋅Q3W)+(0.1⋅Q4W)−(1.0⋅Q1L)−(0.5⋅Q2L)−(1.5⋅Q3L)−(3.0⋅Q4L)
Adjusted Score=Resume Score−NET/50+(10⋅WP)
- Seed 1: Adjusted Score > 40
- Seed 2: 35–40
- Seed 3: 30–35
- Seed 4: 25–30
- Seed 5: 20–25
- Seed 6: 15–20
- Seed 7: 12–15
- Seed 8: 9–12
- Seed 9: 6–9
- Seed 10: 3–6
- Seed 11: 0–3 (often First Four teams)
- Seed 12–16: < 0 or automatic qualifiers with weaker resumes
Adjusted Score=20.6−0.4+6.33=26.53
Typically this resume would map to a 4 seed.
