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...and in other news

We will see.
Well, if you believe the stuff you have posted you have surely hedged your bets already and moved at least a sizeable amount of your investments to long-term T-bills (or your preferred safe-haven). It's an easy answer and honestly, I'd respect your post if you have gone beyond the normal age-related balancing of equities as it demonstrates that you truly belief a crash is coming.
 
Nobel Winners have issued warnings too. Boy you are a fool. Rinse, repeat, same crap.

Meanwhile, NVDA with a beat on the top, bottom, and future lines. Sell it all Jeff! Put your money where your mouth is or just sit this one out.

Krugman is a moron. Might be a touch less crazy than Olbermann.
 
Well, if you believe the stuff you have posted you have surely hedged your bets already and moved at least a sizeable amount of your investments to long-term T-bills (or your preferred safe-haven). It's an easy answer and honestly, I'd respect your post if you have gone beyond the normal age-related balancing of equities as it demonstrates that you truly belief a crash is coming.

I am currently 60% fixed; will up it to 70%.
 
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Wow! I guess Bezos reads this thread and saw my thoughts on the clowns he employs at WaPo. This is great. Maybe the Post can gain some subscribers, if this isn't just lip service.

 
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Well, if you believe the stuff you have posted you have surely hedged your bets already and moved at least a sizeable amount of your investments to long-term T-bills (or your preferred safe-haven). It's an easy answer and honestly, I'd respect your post if you have gone beyond the normal age-related balancing of equities as it demonstrates that you truly belief a crash is coming.
Of course it's a highly individual thing, but my temperament is such that I never let my short- or medium-term guesses at what the stock market might do drive my investment decisions. And that's doubly true when all the "experts" are making what amounts to politically-based prognostications. I also don't try to pick individual stocks (nor hire someone to pick individual stocks for me). I couldn't even state what my overall allocation is off the top of my head. I retired early and right before I did so I did position myself as conservatively as I'd ever been, around 60/40, since I had more than 10 years to bridge before SS, with the intent of just letting my equities allocation drift upward (hopefully) over time. That pre-retirement move appears to have been unnecessary despite getting hit with the pandemic market sag and the appearance of relatively high inflation within months of shutting off the paycheck spigot. Mostly that's because I've found that walking around tossing $50-dollar bills on the ground behind me everywhere I went wasn't necessary to fill the "void" left by shutting down a "career".

IMO, what ultimately matters most is the so-called SWAN factor. If you're not sleeping well at night because you're worried about your money, you're invested wrong.
 
If we just get flight logs, that means nothing.

It all means nothing if no one pays the price for what they did. I have zero confidence anyone will be charged.
Unfortunately, experience has shown that any confidence or trust in the government is misplaced until proven otherwise. On the one hand, if there are pending prosecutions, there's at least an argument to withhold some of the information (temporarily). On the other hand it's way too easy label it classified to hide it (which is technically illegal, but that doesn't prevent it). Another slant I heard is depending on who might be associated with the scandal that still wields political power, throwing it out in the open negates an amount of leverage the holders of the information have.

But I'm suspecting a bunch of sound and fury that signifies nothing. It's a big test of the DoJ and the administration writ large in terms of transparency. Will they do the right thing even if it's difficult? Not a bet I'd take, but we'll see.
 
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Unfortunately, experience has shown that any confidence or trust in the government is misplaced until proven otherwise. On the one hand, if there are pending prosecutions, there's at least an argument to withhold some of the information (temporarily). On the other hand it's way too easy label it classified to hide it (which is technically illegal, but that doesn't prevent it). Another slant I heard is depending on who might be associated with the scandal that still wields political power, throwing it out in the open negates an amount of leverage the holders of the information have.

But I'm suspecting a bunch of sound and fury that signifies nothing. It's a big test of the DoJ and the administration writ large in terms of transparency. Will they do the right thing even if it's difficult? Not a bet I'd take, but we'll see.

Laid out very well. Exactly how I see it.
 
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Of course it's a highly individual thing, but my temperament is such that I never let my short- or medium-term guesses at what the stock market might do drive my investment decisions. And that's doubly true when all the "experts" are making what amounts to politically-based prognostications. I also don't try to pick individual stocks (nor hire someone to pick individual stocks for me). I couldn't even state what my overall allocation is off the top of my head. I retired early and right before I did so I did position myself as conservatively as I'd ever been, around 60/40, since I had more than 10 years to bridge before SS, with the intent of just letting my equities allocation drift upward (hopefully) over time. That pre-retirement move appears to have been unnecessary despite getting hit with the pandemic market sag and the appearance of relatively high inflation within months of shutting off the paycheck spigot. Mostly that's because I've found that walking around tossing $50-dollar bills on the ground behind me everywhere I went wasn't necessary to fill the "void" left by shutting down a "career".

IMO, what ultimately matters most is the so-called SWAN factor. If you're not sleeping well at night because you're worried about your money, you're invested wrong.

Good stuff. I've let UBS handle my portfolio for 20 plus years without supervision. I can't stand Google, but guess what, my number one holding is Alphabet. They also asked me if I wanted an aggressive chunk of money. My broker made some not so good bets, but also bought NVDA in 2017 a couple of times and held it all until recently.

Timing the markets is a fool's game. Listening to Paul Krugman and other "experts" is also a fool's game. Balance your portfolio appropriately, don't let a single equity become too big, and have a little cash on hand allows for SWAN.

Of course, I do have my little play account which amounts to only a few percentage points of my assets, but it is fun and often the thrill of a good buy there no matter how insignificant brings great joy. It also allows one to keep the mind engaged.

Currently, asset valuations are high. There will be a Trump boom. Short term, I couldn't tell you.
 
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Everyone knows that Bondi is scrubbing it of Trump references.
If Trump had been on the list, guess what Stone, the Democrats would have released the list rather than use lawfare and impeachments the last 8 years.

Pedophilia has no place in MAGA and Trump would have been doomed. But, nice try.
 
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Good stuff. I've let UBS handle my portfolio for 20 plus years without supervision. I can't stand Google, but guess what, my number one holding is Alphabet. They also asked me if I wanted an aggressive chunk of money. My broker made some not so good bets, but also bought NVDA in 2017 a couple of times and held it all until recently.

Timing the markets is a fool's game. Listening to Paul Krugman and other "experts" is also a fool's game. Balance your portfolio appropriately, don't let a single equity become too big, and have a little cash on hand allows for SWAN.

Of course, I do have my little play account which amounts to only a few percentage points of my assets, but it is fun and often the thrill of a good buy there no matter how insignificant brings great joy. It also allows one to keep the mind engaged.

Currently, asset valuations are high. There will be a Trump boom. Short term, I couldn't tell you.
I earmarked my little backdoor Roth IRA to be my play money account. It's about 0.5% of my total. I did buy a few active, niche, ETFs; but since I've retired I haven't any interest yet in putting to put together a little portfolio, which is a surprise since I was really looking forward to it. It has returned more than SPX, but not by an impressive amount.
 

This isn’t someone that died suddenly. She underwent liver surgery and was having complications.
Mary Anne's co-worker has had 2 kidney transplants.

18 she got a kidney from her Dad. It failed after 12 years.
At 30 she got the replacement kidney from her Sister.
So far, 15 years it's OK.
Lupus is the culprit.
 
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I earmarked my little backdoor Roth IRA to be my play money account. It's about 0.5% of my total. I did buy a few active, niche, ETFs; but since I've retired I haven't any interest yet in putting to put together a little portfolio, which is a surprise since I was really looking forward to it. It has returned more than SPX, but not by an impressive amount.
My Roth is where I trade Options like you. It's fun, but not large enough to cause me grief if I blow it up !
 
I am currently 60% fixed; will up it to 70%.
I would look for interest rates to eventually lower ( 1 or 2 years.) So I would advise to put that 10 % in something like precious metals, looking for the Fed to eventually lower rates and your fixed incomes to drop rapidly in value.

I friend had a walk in safe installed at his house. He needed a large excavator and a crane to dig the hole on the side of the home and install the safe and cover up the safe.

He used to get a dividend from a precious metals mutual fund in Gold of about 5 pounds a month, delivered by armed guard ! Into the safe after work !

He eventually purchased a multi-million dollar house in Florida, established residency in Florida and moved everything (including the gold) to Fla.
Declared bankruptcy up North. Principal residence in Florida is exempt from the filing, no matter it's worth !

Been living off the gold for 10 years, (bar by bar, coin by coin !) !
 
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